On
the back of the global financial crisis, the Klang Valley property
market ended with a weak sentiment last year, entering 2009 amidst many
uncertainties.
While the
escalation of construction costs have slowed, banks have been
tightening loan terms, making it difficult for home buyers to secure
suitable home loans.
The
above scenario resulted in a quiet property market where developers
delayed launches and slowed down the rolling out of new projects.
Executive director of Knight Frank Malaysia, Sarkunan Subramaniam,
feels that property prices would decline too.
“Property
players and hunters can certainly expect the market to slow down with
property prices decreasing by five to 10 per cent as the slower economy
brings down demand. The wait-for-bargains stance on property purchase
will prevail and some good bargains will arise in the later part of the
year,” says Sarkunan.
Director
of Metro Homes Sdn Bhd, See Kok Loong, says in this changing market,
property players such as developers should be involved in more research
and look for real demand prior to offering projects to the market,
whereas property hunters should be able to find good investment in
2009, depending on the type of investment they are looking for.
“This
year, returns may not be that good, as rental returns have generally
faced downward pressure but in the long run, capital appreciation for
landed property should be alright.
“Prices
may come down a bit but not in a very drastic manner as the holding
cost is still low. Refinancing will become a trend whereby owners
refinance for the purpose of consumer spending and others,” says See.
The Klang Valley market
According to See, the current market situation is alright, despite it
having slowed down since November last year. There are still
transactions, most of which are concentrated on mid-range homes such as
those below RM600,000. The rental market would also do well, with more
people renting instead of buying and the landlord mentality of low rent
rather than no rent prevailing.
“The
commercial sector would very much depend on catchment and location.
Those in the right location would continue to do well, where they are
backed by the spending power of residents. In newly completed areas
without much population, it would take a while (to perform),” says See.
Meanwhile,
offices would face pressures of falling rents as more buildings are due
for completion soon, while multinational companies continue to downsize
or slow down on expansions.
The
industrial sector is also expected to perform poorly as demands for
factories would slow down as demand for manufacturing and exports
decline. “However, selected locations would still do well such as prime
areas that moved in to the showroom category like Petaling Jaya,
Balakong, Sunway Damansara and Kota Kemuning,” adds See.
The best locations
On the current hottest spot in Klang Valley, See says the demand is
everywhere. However, areas such as Petaling Jaya, Taman Tun Dr Ismail,
Bangsar, Hartamas, Subang Jaya, Puchong and certain parts of Shah Alam
would continue to do well, especially in the landed property sector.
“With
a lower monthly budget, people would compare the cost of staying in a
condominium – such as management fees, higher water bill and more – as
opposed to a landed home that come without all these (costs),” he
explains.
As for
the performance of the market in the first half of 2009, See expects
things to be challenging. “Negative news would drive away investors and
house buyers looking to upgrade would be cautious as well,” he says.
“My
opinion is that the market would be soft, and developers will push for
more innovative programmes such as the Sime Darby Buy Back Guarantee,
and S P Setia’s 5/95 Home Loan, while Mah Sing is also coming up with
some financing packages,” says See.